On 4 June 2009, the country conservation bodies, JNCC and the
Geoconservation Commission of the Geological Society of London
(
http://www.geoconservation.com/)
convened a meeting to further the understanding of climate change
and its effects on geodiversity*. The intention was to bring
together a range of people that are involved in conserving
geological and geomorphological sites – and soils. The
geoconservation community offers invaluable experience to the
climate change debate – with knowledge about its predicted effects
on biodiversity as well as geodiversity, with evidence covering
millions of years of climate change, ice-ages, and mass extinctions
gleaned from the geological record. However, the focus of this
meeting was to evaluate what additional steps may need to be taken
to conserve geodiversity itself, in a world of rapidly changing
climatic conditions.
In short, the outlook for the
21st century for the UK is that summers will be drier,
winters will be wetter, and by the 22nd century, the sea
level will be almost a metre higher. Storminess may increase, but
the climate change models are imprecise here. During the
conference, we spent some time looking at the climatic models (USA,
Australia, UK, Germany and Japan have the most developed models;
for more information visit the UKCIP website at http://ukcp09.defra.gov.uk/).
During the meeting, the focus
was to think about what the impact of climate change will be on
geoconservation. John Hopkins of Natural England made a
presentation that helped stimulate discussion, based on
bioconservation data: it is clear already that trees are coming
into leaf earlier each year, and, for example, that warm-loving
species of insects are gradually extending their range northwards
into hitherto cooler territory. Sea level is going to rise – many
capital cities (which are mainly sited at, or near, current
sea-level) will be flooded in a century’s time. So what now for
conservation, bearing in mind that there will be a human response
to climate change that will put more pressure on the natural world
during an inward retreat from the coast?
The debate – for geodiversity
– is in its early stages. But geoconservationists are not only
looking to the geodiversity and its conservation, but also to the
contribution that can be made by assisting in environmental
forecasting, from the knowledge amassed of climate change that has
been a part of our planet’s history for many millions of years.
Clearly coastal sites will be suffering a faster rate of change,
but possibly river systems and caves will change in their dynamics
at a rate not seen for many thousands of years. More needs to be
done in research - and in gathering of information to be able to
predict how things will change. But, as a first step, in working
out what is needed to be done and what information can be provided
in the future in responding to how climate change affects both bio-
and geo-conservation, the conference was an excellent start.
Neil Ellis
Geoconservation Adviser
Tel: +44 (01733) 866906
*Geodiversity is defined as the natural range of geological
(rocks, minerals, fossils), geomorphological (landforms,
landscape-shaping processes) and soil features, although some
extend the definition to the built (stone) heritage and historical
geological literature. We conserve geodiversity principally for
scientific, educational and cultural reasons. UK sites are of
international significance, with many geological terms and
principles used the world-over developed here.