Indicator description
The indicator shows changes in the degree of habitat
connectivity in Great Britain for two Broad Habitats:
- Broadleaved, mixed and yew woodland. This includes all
woodland with a canopy cover of at least 25 per cent, where more
than 80 per cent of the canopy trees are broad-leaved species
or yew trees.
- Neutral grassland, which includes all grassland on neutral
soils including both unimproved and semi-improved grassland.
The indicator provides a measure of functional connectivity of
these two habitats in the wider landscape, i.e. the relative
likelihood of species typical of the habitat being able to move
within and between habitat patches. The calculations
underlying the connectivity indicator take into account the area of
habitat patches, how isolated they are, which habitats are next to
each other, and the ease with which species are able to move
through the surrounding landscape. The influence of habitat
quality on species is only partially covered by this indicator.
Figure 14 (ii). Confidence intervals for the indicator
measures.

The assessment of the indicator is undertaken by evaluation of
the 95 per cent confidence intervals between the first and
latest surveys undertaken (1990 and 2007), and between the two most
recent surveys (1998 and 2007). These are shown in Figure 14
(ii).
The indicator shows a non-significant declining trend in the
connectivity of Broad-leaved, Mixed and Yew Woodland in Great
Britain and an increasing trend in the connectivity of Neutral
Grassland in Great Britain. The trend for Neutral Grassland
was significant between 1990 and 2007 but not in the short term
between 1998 and 2007.
Relevance
Habitat fragmentation is the process whereby natural and
semi-natural habitats are separated into a number of smaller
patches, through land use change and urban development.
Habitat loss and fragmentation reduces the size of populations and
hinders the movement of individuals among increasingly isolated
populations, threatening their long-term viability. The
process can be cumulative over time, but may be reversed through
habitat management, restoration and recreation. Many of the
habitats in the UK landscape are already highly fragmented.
The effects of habitat fragmentation can be compounded by
changes in land use between the patches. The importance of
these changes depends on which habitats are next to each other
(edge effects) and the ease with which species can move through the
intervening landscape (permeability).
Habitat loss and fragmentation was identified by the Millennium
Ecosystem Assessment as one of five direct drivers of biodiversity
loss. The impacts of habitat loss and fragmentation are
recognised within the Convention on Biological Diversity and the
European Union Habitats Directive.
In 2007 Defra published a set of climate change adaptation
principles (Mitchell et al 2007). These set out
actions that can be taken to protect biodiversity now, whilst
increasing the chance that biodiversity will be able to adapt to
future changes. These principles include taking action to
increase area of habitats available for biodiversity and improving
the opportunity for wildlife to disperse through the
countryside.
Background
The development of the connectivity indicator is an innovative
use of available data and limited information about how species
move through landscapes. The connectivity indicator has been
calculated for two Broad Habitat types (Broad-leaved, Mixed and Yew
Woodland, and Neutral Grassland) using field survey data collected
consistently from 591 Countryside Survey 1km2 sample
squares in Great Britain, in 1990, 1998 and 2007.
The two habitats were selected because of
their widespread and dispersed occurrence across Great Britain,
allowing changes to be detected at the 1km2 scale of the
sample squares. Woodland and grassland are also at opposite
ends of the continuum of ecological succession; woodland tends to
be long-lasting and stable, whereas grassland is more
dynamic. Selecting these habitats has allowed the approach to
be tested on data which is representative of the Countryside Survey
dataset as a whole and relevant to environmental policy
making.
Woodland in the Countryside Survey is defined as having a 25 per
cent canopy cover, so thinned or recently replanted stands,
newly created woodland, or woods with low tree density are not
included. This means that connectivity of this habitat may be
underestimated. However, felling and replanting of previously
wooded areas may represent an interruption in connectivity for some
species, which the indicator can detect.
A further complication encountered in calculating this indicator
relates to the definition of the woodland BAP Broad Habitats.
Broad Habitats did not exist when the 1990 Countryside Survey was
undertaken and habitats were assigned for analysis in 1998 using
detailed attributes. Considerable work has been undertaken to
achieve consistency across Broad habitats in the Countryside Survey
data for 1990, 1998 and 2007 including re-allocation of both 1998
and 1990 data and field based correction of 1998 polygons by 2007
surveyors. Despite that, where sufficiently detailed data was
not available for re-allocation in 1990, it may be that polygons
which were allocated to Coniferous Woodland in 1998 and 2007 were
allocated to Broad-leaved, Mixed and Yew Woodland in 1990.
The definition of 80 per cent cover of broad-leaved and yew
species now used for Broad-leaved, Mixed and Yew Woodland in
Countryside Survey means that mixed coniferous / broad-leaved
woodlands will be recorded as Coniferous Woodland. The
potential extent of this issue requires further exploration but may
lead to inconsistency in the indicator between 1990 and other
survey dates, although relatively small proportions of woodland
surveyed in Countryside Survey (~5 per cent) are mixed
conifer/broad-leaf.
The definition for the Neutral Grassland broad habitat type
includes not just Priority Habitats (upland and lowland hay
meadows) but also other semi-improved habitats with species more
typical of improved grassland. The increase in connectivity
observed may mask differences in trends for more tightly defined
habitats which fit within the broad habitat definition.
As the indicator is based on Countryside Survey data, the extent
to which change in the indicator represents real change in
connectivity across Great Britain will be dependent on the spatial
and temporal resolution of Countryside Survey data. The
connectivity values calculated range from zero (no habitat in the
sample squares) to one hundred (habitat completely covering the
sample squares, with complete intra-patch connectivity). Due
to the highly fragmented nature of many British habitats, it is
expected that most connectivity values will be very low.
The method used to calculate the indicator accounts for the
influence of the habitats which are adjacent to a patch of woodland
or grassland. These ‘edge impacts’ (i.e. effects of adjoining
land cover) are taken into account by considering the surrounding
land cover of each patch. A strip of habitat may be
‘removed’, to reflect that, from the point of view of the species
modelled, the area of habitat actually used is smaller than that
mapped by the fieldwork.
The method then calculates the probability of movement of a
hypothetical species typical of a particular habitat, both within
and between the habitat patches. These potential movements
are weighted by:
- the area of the source and destination patches, with more
potential movements from (or to) larger patches;
- an expectation that the majority of movements will be to nearer
existing patches (implemented by applying a negative exponential
dispersal curve);
- and an expectation that there will be greater potential
movement through ecologically similar landscape features, as
opposed to more restricted movement through habitats which are less
suitable for the species (calculated through a least-cost distance
measure).
The weightings used to implement these movements were derived
from an analysis of expert opinion, as comprehensive ecological
requirements for all species of these habitats are not
available.
A reduction in habitat area may lead to a reduction in the size
of a species’ population and so to an increased risk that a species
will cease to exist within a group of patches. An increase in
ecological isolation may also cause a reduction in the movement of
individuals between isolated patches. These movements may
maintain genetic diversity, rescue declining populations, or
re-establish populations in patches from which they have previously
been lost; they are important in maintaining the dynamics and
viability of species populations at a local or regional level.
Further development planned
The indicator methodology has been developed by Forest Research
in collaboration with the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, using
Countryside Survey data. The results of this work provide a
significant step forward in our ability to understand and describe
habitat fragmentation and connectivity. However, the indicator is
currently presented as unassessed pending further investigation of
the underlying data to better interpret the observed changes. This
further investigation is a priority for future work. Additional
further development is planned that would allow disaggregation of
the data for individual country reporting; and further refinement
through the addition of new empirical data on species movement
through different landscape types.
Details of development of the habitat connectivity are available
in Watts et al (2008).
References
Watts, K. and Handley, P. (2010). Developing a
functional connectivity indicator to detect change in fragmented
landscapes. Ecological Indicators 10, 552-557.
Watts, K., Handley, P., Eycott, A.E., Peace, A., Marzano, M.,
Scholefield, P. and Norton, L. (2010a). Habitat
Connectivity – Developing an indicator for UK and country level
reporting Phase 2: Production of the indicator - Defra
contract WC0716. Forest Research & Centre for Ecology and
Hydrology.
Watts, K., Eycott, A.E., Handley, P., Ray, D., Humphrey, J.W.
and Quine, C. (2010b). Targeting and
evaluating biodiversity conservation action within fragmented
landscapes: An approach based on generic focal species and
least-cost networks. Landscape Ecology 25(9), 1305-1318
Eycott, A.E., Watts, K., Brandt, G., Buyung-Ali, L.M., Bowler,
D., Stewart, G.B. and Pullin, A.S. (2010). Which matrix
features affect species movement? Systematic Review No. 43.
Collaboration for Environmental Evidence, Bangor, Wales, UK.
Eycott, A.E., Watts, K., Brandt, G., Buyung-Ali, L.M., Bowler,
D.E., Stewart, G.B. and Pullin, A.S. (2008). What
is the evidence for the development of connectivity to improve
species movement, as an adaptation to climate change? Defra
contract WC0705. Forest Research & Centre for Evidence-Based
Conservation.
Watts, K., Handley, P., Scholefield, P. and Norton, L.
(2008). Habitat
Connectivity – Developing an indicator for UK and country level
reporting. Phase 1: Pilot Study - Defra contract WC0704. Forest
Research & Centre for Ecology and Hydrology.
Mitchell, R.J., Morecroft, M., Mountford, O., Acreman, M., Ross,
L.C., Maclean, I.M.D., Crick, H.Q.P., Rehfisch, M.M., Piper, J. and
Wilson, E. (2007). England Biodiversity Strategy:
Towards Adaptation to Climate Change. Contract report CRO327
for Defra.
Watts, K., Humphrey, J.W., Griffiths, M., Quine, C.P. and Ray,
D. (2005). Evaluating Biodiversity in Fragmented Landscapes:
Principles. Forestry Commission Information Note No.073. Forestry
Commission, Edinburgh.
For further information about changes in woodland and grassland
habitats, see also Indicator 2 – Plant Diversity.